FALSE: DO NOT SHARE
UK COVID-19 lockdown measures were based on false projections of fatalities.
Misleading. COVID-19 lockdown measures are designed to reduce the spread of the virus.
This video on YouTube is an interview of a man who is talking through graphs on Covid-19 deaths and projections from different countries. He claims that the UK Government introduced lockdown measures based on a false projection from Imperial College, which would scare everyone into introducing lockdown measures.
This is misleading. Whilst an initial Imperial College projection did show 500,000 fatalities were possible, this was a scenario if the government took no action. The UK Government then implemented social distancing to slow the spread of the virus and save lives, causing the projections to be improved and revised as more data is collected about Covid-19.
Whilst all future projections will have some uncertainty attached, the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) are currently projecting UK fatalities to be 40,555 by 4th August 2020.
Imperial College is one of several institutions trying to use mathematical models to predict the spread of the coronavirus to advise governments on corrective actions.
Imperial College London: COVID-19: Imperial researchers model likely impact of public health measures
Imperial College London: Epidemiologists launch new weekly forecast of coronavirus deaths
Nature: Special report: The simulations driving the world’s response to COVID-19
Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME): Covid-19 projections